I haven't blogged here in a damn long time.... well.... This sem has been pretty crazy so far, especially the weeks leading up to reccess. I think I'm experiencing like some subtle sort of burnout. I feel immensely sian to start studying and I suddenly feel the urge to start console gaming again. I've taken to playing Parasite Eve on my PS2 to curb my desire for a PSP/PS3... Well, and also to get the entire backstory before I play the 3rd Birthday (when I do get the PSP).
Mid terms have come and gone. I didn't do too well. Didn't do too badly either. I guess i'm mostly somewhere around the average for most of my papers with the exception of CM (>:X)
Formula number 1...
G = k/LA
Where G stands for grades, k is some constant and LA stands for lecture attendance. Table 1 below shows the correlation between grades and lecture attendance.
Prob and stats
70% - NEVER ATTEND AT ALL
MAS 281
62% - attended 1st few lectures and a number of computer labs
Solids
56% - Attended more than a few lectures
CM
49% - I try my best to go
Well... to be fair.... i don't think i'll be doing too well for QM and i hardly ever go for Elberts lecture. Though, I'd want to believe that the above theory is true because that means I'll be getting full marks for my thermal test next friday.... well... maybe 90% because I've attended half a lecture already.
Formula number 2....
P(R|LB U TT) >= 50% (more than likely)
R stands for the event in which you've solved the question correctly (whether you know it or not). LB stands for the event in which you've left the question blank. TT stands for the even in which you have taken tremendous amounts of time to solve the question. So, for the benefit of those who don't understand mathspeak, formula number 2 says,
The probability that you got a question right GIVEN THAT you left it blank AND/OR took tremendous amounts of time to solve it is greater than or equal to 50%.
Yeah... this is quite dulan. In 281 i left a question blank which I actually got right and it's eating at my conscience right now. In CM I spent super a lot of time trying to think through a show question on whether my approach was right or not even though I managed to show what the question asked already. I ended up not having enough time to finish the paper. So much for telling my students to "just whack".
Formula number 3 and 4...
P(DW | S) >= 50% (more than likely)
P(S | DW) "<<" 50% (very very much less than likely; I had to put the paranthesis because html kept giving me problems when I tried to publish without)
**I'm trying to use Patrick Suppes' model when trying to describe probabilities.... I might not be using it right but who cares...
DW : done well ; S: smart.
So the probability that you've done well GIVEN THAT you're smart is more than likely. However, the probability that you're smart GIVEN THAT you've done well is very very much less than likely. This is because a number of tests have come out with tutorial questions. I mean.... I don't think this isn't right. And I do think this is an effective way to get dumbasses to study the mathematical approaches covered during tutorial. But still, having tutorial questions appear in exams does jack shit in terms of filtering out the smart people from the dumbasses.... So in conclusion, exams are a super poor measure of smartness.
Oh, and Hugh got a blog. Link's on the corner :)
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